Wednesday 19 November 2008

On course for our European Election success


IF anyone still had any doubts over the motives of that little coterie of individuals who tried to ferment internal dispute within the British National Party last November in an effort to scupper our chances at the Greater London Assembly elections, the events of the last 48 hours will have removed them.

The membership list that appeared on the Internet on Monday morning was the same one that was stolen by the 'Gang of Four' and used to send out the bogus bulletins last January that they hoped would destroy the BNP. Enough will be said on this matter in the media so I won't waste space on it here, apart from staying that if they think such action will hurt the BNP are very much mistaken. The survival of John Sergeant on Strictly Come Dancing by the public vote each week shows that the British people don't like to see the victimisation of individuals and any attempt by our opponents working within the media to do this to our ordinary members will spectacularly backfire and drive even more supporters into our ranks.

The publication of the list at this time has only one purpose - to whip up dissention and demoralise our membership at a vital time when we are gearing up for the European Elections. It's exactly the same strategy and timing that was used for the GLA elections last year.

And no wonder the opposition is running scared. Yesterday I number-crunched the votes needed for Nick Griffin to take one of the eight seats on offer in the North West Euro constituency by breaking the figures down to the 43 local authorities. Looking at our council elections in these areas, the Party looks very much on course to securing the 8th and final seat available.

Based on the 2004 Result in the North West Constituency and taking the turnout and vote share to be similar, the British National Party needs to receive another 33,842 votes (1.6%) to achieve its goal.

Let's take a look at these in details

43 Authority Results from the North West Euro Constituency:

1. ALLERDALE
2004 Result: 1381 (5%)
In June we need 1823 votes (6.6%)
Average BNP vote in 6 Allerdale Council elections over the past 18 months: 20.2%.

2. BARROW
2004 Result: 869 (4.1%)
In June we need 1208 votes (5.7%)
Average BNP vote in 3 Barrow Council elections over the past 18 months: 11.5%

3. BLACKBURN & DARWEN
2004 Result: Blackburn & Darwen 4491 (9.1%)
In June we need 5280 votes (10.7%)
Average BNP vote in 6 Blackburn & Darwen Council elections over the past 18 months: 20.7%

4. BLACKPOOL
2004 Result: 2641 (6.8%)
In June we need 3262 votes (8.4%)
Average BNP vote in 7 Blackpool Council elections over the past 18 months: 15.7%.

5. BOLTON
2004 Result: 5427 votes (6.6%)
In June we need 6742 (8.2%)
Average BNP vote in 2 Bolton Council elections in last 18 months: 16.1%

6. BURNLEY
2004 Result: 5301 (16.5%)
In June we need 5815 votes (18.1%)
Average BNP vote in 21 Burnley Council elections over the past 18 months: 24.2%

7. BURY
2004 Result: 5509 (8.3%)
In June we need 6570 votes (9.9%)
Average BNP vote 16 in Bury Council elections over the past 18 months: 11.6%

8. CARLISLE
2004 Result: 1772 (5.2%)
In June we need 2317 votes (6.8%)
Average vote in 15 Carlisle Council elections over the past 18 months: 15.5%

9. CHESTER
2004 Result: 1211 (2.7%)
In June we need 1928 votes (4.3%)
Average vote in 3 Chester Council elections over the past 18 months: 13.3%

10. CHORLEY
2004 Result: 2339 (6.0%)
In June we need 2962 votes(7.6%)
Average vote in Chorley Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

11. CONGLETON
2004 Result: 1749 (5.1%)
In June we need 2297 votes (6.7%)
Average vote in 1 Congleton Council election over the past 18 months: 12.1%

12. COPELAND
2004 Result: 1148 (5.7%)
In June we need 1470 votes (7.3%)
Average vote in 1 Copeland Council elections over the past 18 months: 23.5%

13. CREWE:
2004 Result 2136 (5.4%)
In June we need 2668 votes (7.0%)
Average vote in Crewe Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

14. EDEN:
2004 Result 546 (3.1%)
In June we need 828 votes (4.7%)
Average vote in Eden Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

15. ELLESMERE
2004 Result 1355 (5.1%)
In June we need 1780 votes (6.7%)
Average vote in Ellesmere Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

16. FYLDE
2004 Result 1264 (4.7%)
In June we need 1694 votes (6.3%)
Average vote in Fylde Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

17. HALTON
2004 Result 2170 (6.4%)
In June we need 2712 votes (8.0%)
Average vote in 1 Halton Council elections over the past 18 months: 9.8%

18. HYNDBURN
2004 Result 2910 (11.5%)
In June we need 3315 votes (13.1%)
Average vote in Hyndburn Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

19. KNOWSLEY
2004 Result 2005 (5.6%)
In June we need 2577 votes (7.2%)
Average vote in 4 Knowsley Council elections over the past 18 months: 15.6%

20. LANCASTER
2004 Result 1751 (4.2%)
In June we need 2418 votes (5.8%)
Average vote in 1 Lancaster Council election over the past 18 months: 18.7%

21. LIVERPOOL
2004 Result 4611 (4.1%)
In June we need 6410 votes (5.7%)
Average vote 21 in Liverpool Council elections over the past 18 months: 8.1%

22. MACCLESFIELD
2004 Result 2153 (3.6%)
In June we need 3109 votes (5.2%)
Average vote in Macclesfield Council elections over the past 18 months: None contested

23. MANCHESTER
2004 Result 5380 (5.0%)
In June we need 7102 votes (6.6%)
Average vote in 6 Manchester Council elections over the past 18 months: 19.4%

24. OLDHAM
2004 Result 7486 (10.3%)
In June we need 8649 votes (11.9%)
Average vote in 7 Oldham Council elections over the past 18 months: 15.1%

25. PENDLE
2004 Result 4322 (13.2%)
In June we need 4845 votes (14.8%)
Average vote in 11 Pendle Council elections over the past 18 months: 21.0%

26. PRESTON
2004 Result 2546 (6.2%)
In June we need 3203 votes (7.8%)
Average vote in Preston Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

27. RIBBLE VALLEY
2004 Result 1423 (6.8%)
In June we need 1758 votes (8.4%)
Average vote in 1 Ribble Valley Council elections over the past 18 months: 16.7%

28. ROCHDALE
2004 Result 5949 (9.3%)
In June we need 6972 (10.9%)
Average vote in 1 Rochdale Council elections over the past 18 months: 13.9%

29 ROSSENDALE
2004 Result 2383 (10.3%)
In June we need 2753 votes (11.9%)
Average vote in 11 Rossendale Council elections over the past 18 months: 18.0%

30. SALFORD
2004 Result 4166 (7.9%)
In June we need 5009 votes (9.5%)
Average vote in 11 Salford Council elections over the past 18 months: 12.0%

31. SEFTON
2004 Result 3911 (4.4%)
In June we need 5333 votes (6.0%)
Average votes in 12 Sefton Council elections over the past 18 months: 7.6%

32. SOUTH LAKELAND
2004 Result 1137 (2.7%)
In June we need 1810 votes (4.3%)
Average vote in South Lakeland Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

33. SOUTH RIBBLE
2004 Result 2291 (7.0%)
In June we need 2814 votes (8.6%)
Average vote in South Ribble Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

34 ST HELENS
2004 Result 4047 (5.8%)
In June we need 5163 votes (7.4%)
Average vote in 14 St Helens Council elections over the past 18 months: 8.4%

35. STOCKPORT
2004 Result 5093 (5.4%)
In June we need 6602 votes (7.0%)
Average vote in 13 Stockport Council elections over the past 18 months: 10.1%

36 TAMESIDE
2004 Result 6609 (10.5%)
In June we need 7616 votes (12.1%)
Average vote in 16 Tameside Council elections over the past 18 months: 19.5%

37. TRAFFORD
2004 Result 3235 (4.5%)
In June we need 4385 votes (6.1%)
Average vote in 2 Trafford Council elections over the past 18 months: 9.3%

38. VALE ROYAL
2004 Result 2073 (5.2%)
In June we need 2710 votes (6.8%)
Average vote in 5 Vale Royal Council elections over the past 18 months: 17.3%

39. WARRINGTON
2004 Result 3230 (5.2%)
In June we need 4233 votes (6.8%)
Average vote in 2 Warrington Council elections over the past 18 months: 10.4%

40. WEST LANCS
2004 Result 1560 (4.3%)
In June we need 2140 votes (5.9%)
Average vote in West Lancs Council elections over the past 18 months: None Contested

41. WIGAN
2004 Result 7608 (9.0%)
In June we need 8960 votes (10.6%)
Average vote in 16 Wigan Council elections over the past 18 months: 11.8%

42. WIRRAL
2004 Result 4665 (4.4%)
In June we need 6255 votes (5.9%)
Average vote in 2 Wirral Council elections over the past 18 months: 9.3%

43. WYRE
2004 Result 2153 5.7%)
In June we need 2757 votes (7.3%)
Average vote in 2 Wyre Council elections over the past 18 months: 17.8%

No comments: